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Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Hawkesbury and Muswellbrook on Tuesday, August 12, 2025
Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Hawkesbury and Muswellbrook on Tuesday, August 12, 2025

News.com.au

timea day ago

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Hawkesbury and Muswellbrook on Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Form analyst Shayne O'Cass provides his best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis for Hawkesbury on Tuesday plus his tips for Muswellbrook. Form analyst Shayne O'Cass provides his best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis for Hawkesbury on Tuesday plus his tips for Muswellbrook. â– â– â– â– â– HAWKESBURY TIPS BEST BET Race 3 No.1 PATISSIER: Proisir relation to King Mufhasa who has it all ahead of him. Talented type. NEXT BEST Race 5 No.3 VAILILEE: Trialled like a bomb before a booming debut win. Harder here but goes well. VALUE Race 7 No.7 DALIO: Fit and ready for the step to 1800m from a good draw with a good rider. QUADDIE Race 4: 2,5,14 Race 5: 3 Race 6: 1,3,4,6 Race 7: 3,7 JOCKEY TO FOLLOW James McDonald is here to ride NZ Derby placegetter Golden Century (race four). LAY OF THE DAY Race 7 No.2 THIS IS THE MOMENT: In-form racehorse from the in-form stable in NSW at present but has some stiff competition here from horses crying out for 1800m. HAWKESBURY INSIDE MAIL WHERE'S MY HALO (13) was bred by Emancipation's trainer Neville Begg and is trained by Emancipation's jockey Ron Quinton. This now four-year-old mare turned in a very solid and encouraging debut here back on Feb 20. Trialled twice, won the last one – well! HURRY MISS (9) has the race fitness advantage and more to the point, she was a close second to a really nice horse (Patissier, see race 3) first-up. HARRY'S EVIDENCE (7) will be on-speed and can stick on for a medal. SHARE THE JOY (11) is just so consistent. BET: WHERE'S MY HALO (13) each-way, quinella 9,13. BANKNOTE HUSTLER (11) has drawn wide here but copped 11 of 11 on the Kensington track on Wednesday. He's by Capitalist out of the stakes-winner and Group 1 runner-up Torvil. Only two runs so far were in the Lonhro Plate and Todman. Trialling like a bomb! OHOPE (3) could be saved for the Kensington meeting; goes close surely wherever he fronts-up. YOU'RE THE CHOICE (7) was well beaten first-up at Gosford but beaten a potentially outstanding horse namely Valillee (see race five). COSMIC EAGLE (9) only has to do what she has been doing to figure again. BET: BANKNOTE HUSTLER (11) to win. PATISSIER (1) was born at Rich Hill Stud in NZ where his father, Proisir, stands. This is also the Rich Hill Stud family that delivered the 11-times Group 1 winner King Mufhasa. Same family as Kovalica too. Patissier was trialling well ahead of his really determined win at Kembla, beating the aforementioned Hurry Miss. EXCEED PERFECTION (3) has only managed one win from 17 starts but he has placed eight times and six of them are seconds. Very fit, probably leads, and has some decent Heavy track stats. AFFERMATO (2) was really warming to the task late over 1300m first-up at Kembla. BET: PATISSIER (1) to win or of scratched, AFFERMATO (2) each-way. GOLDEN CENTURY (2) is $101 to win the Caulfield Cup, now that would get you a few dims sums down at the restaurant of the same name down at the Crown these days! This is the former Tony Pike-trained gelding's first run for Chris Waller and his first since he ran 7th of 18 in our Derby, having run 3rd of 16 in the NZ Derby. The trials? Wow. MOUNTAIN QUEEN (14) is a Matthew Smith-trained filly by his former dual G1 winner Fierce Impact. Family of Horlicks and Brew too. Wouldn't be shocked to see this one in a Guineas or Oaks in 2025/26. BET: GOLDEN CENTURY (2) to win, exacta/quinella 2,14. VAILILEE (3) is, for want of no better word, untapped. The now five-year-old won a trial here by 11-lengths on July 7 then went to Gosford 12 days later and won by four, eased down. Drawn 4, same jockey (Mitchell Bell). Being an Adelaide, (I) would back him in to handle it wet but he's still got to do it. VANLEE (6) 's record at this track and distance is two starts for a close second and a half-length win. CHEEKY SMIRK (7) was impressive and emphatic when he won here on debut over 1100m. BET: VAILILEE (3) to win, exacta 3 to beat 6, Daily Double 1st leg 3, 2nd Leg 7. OAKFIELD NEPTUNE (4) is an acceptor for the Queen of the Valley Matchmaker at Muswellbrook. This is a harder race but she has a few things in her favour, not least barrier 2 and a whole lot of talent. COMMANDING BELLE (6) was a 'commanding' winner at Kembla second-up. Runner-up there nine days later but ran through the line with real purpose. Ditto that and then some for ALFRED (3) who has clearly come back in great order this time in. BET: OAKFIELD NEPTUNE (4) to win or if scratched Commanding Belle to win. DALIO (7) is a horse you could easily imagine walking around the parade ring at Pimlico or Santa Anita, given he is by American Pharoah out of a Grade 1 Natalma Stakes-winning mare. He's also in-bred to Storm Cat but I digress because what matters most is that handles the Heavy, he is in great shape, he is at a trip he will relish and he has the draw and the jockey to convert. SUNSET PARK (3) hasn't put a foot wrong in her five starts and has won here over 2000m so she's itching to get out in trip again. BET: DALIO (7) to win. â– â– â– â– â–

Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Goulburn on Monday
Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Goulburn on Monday

News.com.au

time2 days ago

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

Shayne O'Cass's best bets, inside mail for Goulburn on Monday

Form expert Shayne O'Cass analyses the seven-race card at Goulburn on Monday, presenting his best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! â– â– â– â– â– BEST BET SHADOW OF LIGHT (Race 5 No. 11): Well-bred filly who has a bright future; 1500m on the big track is ideal now. â– â– â– â– â– NEXT BEST YVETTE (Race 1 No. 5) Daughter of a Group 1 winner who can stand up here in country grade. â– â– â– â– â– VALUE DRUNKEN SAILOR (Race 6 No. 6) Just the type of race this horse can, and might, win. Right jockey on too. â– â– â– â– â– QUADDIE Race 4: 1,3,9,10 Race 5: 11 Race 6: 5,6,13 Race 7: 2,5,12 JOCKEY TO FOLLOW Keagan Latham rode more winners at Goulburn last season than any other jockey. LAY OF THE DAY ANGEL CITY (Race 5 No. 8) I think the market has overreacted to her second on debut and not convinced she's looking for extra ground based on that performance. I'd want better than $5 to be entertaining her. â– â– â– â– â– RACE 1 – Maiden Plate (1100m) Yvette is worth a whole lot more off the track than she is on it given she is a daughter of I Am Invincible out of the Robert Sangster Stakes winner Secret Agenda and thus a direct descendant of Denise's Joy. Placed at Canterbury at her first two runs, the last two haven't been nearly as good but this is doable. Outcast Ally, another very, very valuable broodmare later on, trials like a good filly. Could well ping and be hard to run down here. Vincetio (blinkers first time) and Blinked, the daughter of the handy Don't Blink, have claims. Bet: Yvette to win, exacta/quinella 5,7. RACE 2 – Maiden Plate (1200m) Brannum was scratched from Moruya last Thursday to presumably run here at home. That said, he has been dealt the visitors drawn, but he still boasts the best form in the race. The Danny Williams-trained Manwari  has been awfully costly, no time more so than when beaten at $1.75 at Warren last start. To be fair to the horse, it was more about the track conditions (bordering on heavy in actual fact) that contributed to the loss. Sonic Scene is back to country racing after two runs at the midweeks. Bet: Brannum to win or if scratched Manwari to win. Bode Akuna was scheduled to run at the washed out Randwick meeting on Saturday. The Jason Coyle bred and trained gelding was good at Kembla second-up and not too bad at Warwick Farm after that on the heavy (8). Loves racing at Goulburn. Don't Doubt Merlin similarly broke his maiden here with Jay Ford riding. How symmetrical is that given Ford steered this horse's mother to her first win and it was also at Goulburn for David Pfieffer. Go well but has a big weight and a wide draw. The Bathurst pair of Dean Mirfin housed horses, Chico Casino and Shaddap, are both last start winners. Bet: Bode Akuna to win or if scratched Don't Doubt Merlin to win. RACE 4 – Benchmark 58 Handicap (1100m) Jackpot Star was scratched from Sunday's Wagga meeting to run here. Note that he will wear blinkers for the first time. The son of Australian Derby winner Starcraft and Wellington Boot winner Jackpot Queen has what seems to be superior form to his rivals – but a sticky draw to deal with. Your Magic is a horse on an upward trajectory. That much is clear given he is '821'. It almost goes with saying how impressive he was winning last start at the Sapphire Coast given he won by almost nine-lengths. Lombardi Lass was disappointing first-up but her first two runs last prep included a maiden win here at home. Bet: Jackpot Star to win. RACE 5 – Maiden Handicap (1500m) Shadow Of Light is a filly by The Autumn Sun out of a mare called Swampland who was beaten a neck in the Let's Elope and was third in a Maybe Mahal. Shadow of Light thus has a really nice mile/2000m profile on pedigree and the way that she ran on debut would back that up somewhat. One thing is certain: 1500m at Goulburn suits her better than 1300m at Wyong. Let's just cut and paste a lot of that for Jagerbomb. Important pedigree note for him going forward, he is by Contributer and his fourth dam is Eight Carat and boasts a doublecross of Sadler's Wells. Bet: Shadow Of Light  to win (best bet), exacta 11/3, Daily Double 1st Leg 11, 2nd Leg 5. RACE 6 – Benchmark 58 Handicap (1600m) Drunken Sailor was originally purchased at Karaka in 2022 for $220,000 but never raced. Enter James Ponsonby who shelled out $1250 online for the son of Ocean Park who has since earned $60,470. He is back in NSW and back in country grade after a trip to Eagle Farm. This is the type of race he can win. We could, and do, say the same about the nine-year-old Sapphires Son who has the home-track advantage. Goes around here with a postage stamp on his back and he's in good nick too. Bet: Drunker Sailor and Sapphires Son each-way.

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